New Warner Music Group CEO Robert Kyncl addressed investors for the first time since taking over the company at the top of the year, acknowledging the “tough quarter” for the major label while also laying out a vision for how he sees the music industry’s present and future.
The company posted revenues of $1.48 billion for the quarter that ended Dec. 31, 2022, down 8% from the same period the year before, which the company noted contained an extra week, skewing comparisons slightly. Growth came from the publishing sector, which saw revenues up 9.2%, or 14.2% in constant currency, while recorded music revenue fell 10.6%, or 5.6% in constant currency, with recorded streaming revenue down an 6.7%, though the company said that streaming revenue was up half a percentage point when adjusted for the extra week, with a lighter release schedule and falling ad-supported streaming revenue the causes.
That led to Kyncl’s acknowledgement that WMG had a tough quarter, noting that, “like most companies, WMG has been dealing with macroeconomic headwinds and the impact of currency exchange rates.” He added that WMG’s release schedule for this year is weighted toward the second half of the year, with releases from Ed Sheeran, Cardi B, David Guetta, Aya Nakamura and Bebe Rexha on the horizon.
Kyncl then spoke about both his decision to join Warner after 12 years at YouTube and seven at Netflix, as well as his vision for growth for the music industry and the effects of artificial intelligence and TikTok on how that future will look, both creatively and monetarily.
“This industry has achieved something rare: It’s built mutually beneficial, long-term partnerships with many of the world’s biggest companies — Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Spotify and Tencent among them,” he said. “As successful as music has become, there’s still meaningful upside ahead for three reasons. One, as technology opens up emerging economies, the industry’s addressable market will continue to expand even further. Two, innovation is constantly creating new use cases for music, giving us the opportunity to diversify our revenue sources. Three, music is still undervalued, especially when compared to other forms of entertainment, like video.”
On the last point, Kyncl pointed out that Netflix’s subscription price has roughly doubled since 2011, the year that Spotify debuted in the U.S., while the price of a music subscription has remained largely flat, even though music subscriptions contain access to a wide swath of the world’s available music, whereas video streamers — of which nearly 80% of U.S. households subscribe to three — are segmented.